Not too many experts or commentators are giving the Buckeyes a chance. Las Vegas oddsmakers have them Buckeyes as 6.5 point underdogs to the Georgia Bulldogs on December 31st, the first round of the college football playoffs.
Although it is perceived that the Georgia Bulldogs will effectively have home field advantage, don't be surprised if the scarlet and gray show up in huge numbers. Ohio State fans will travel and are much more raucous than when they are at home.
The best scoring defense Georgia played was Kentucky, which averages 19 points surrendered per game. Georgia only scored 16, less than the average of Kentucky's opponents. Ohio State gives up 19 per game as well.
Ohio state has one last five star, one less four star and, one less three star player then Georgia. In other words these teams are about as equal as any two teams could be on paper. The second highest scoring offense (OSU) against the second best scoring defense (Georgia).
10 Reasons the Buckeyes will shock the World!
10.Nothing to lose“ We kinda have nothing to lose," Fleming said. "That makes us a dangerous team. This is kind of like a second season for us."S
9. Since 2012 underdog record is 8-2 in those games, including inaugural CFP in 2014, when the Buckeyes upset Alabama in the semifinals and Oregon in the national championship game.
8. LSU (30th best offense) gashed the Bulldogs defense for nearly 500 yards. Ohio State's is a top 6 offense.
7. Georgia relies on their tight ends. OSU held the #1 tight end for the 2023 draft pick Michael Mayer to 5 catches for 32 yards.
Tight ends vs. Ohio State in 2022
Michael Mayer, Notre Dame: 5 receptions, 32 yards, 0 TDs
Seydou Traore, Arkansas State: 2 receptions, 17 yards, 0 TDs
Jamal Turner, Toledo: 0 receptions, 0 yards, 0 TDs
Jack Eshenbach, Wisconsin: 1 reception, 10 yards, 0 TDs
Johnny Langan, Rutgers: 3 receptions, 23 yards, 0 TDs
Daniel Barker, Michigan State: 0 receptions, 0 yards, 0 TDs
Sam LaPorta, Iowa: 6 receptions, 55 yards, 0 TDs
Brenton Strange, Penn State: 4 receptions, 13 yards, 0 TDs
Theo Johnson, Penn State: 2 receptions, 57 yards, 0 TDs
Marshall Lang, Northwestern: 0 receptions, 0 yards, 0 TDs
AJ Barner, Indiana: 4 receptions, 8 yards, 1 TD
Corey Dyches, Maryland: 1 reception, 4 yards, 0 TDs
CJ Dippre, Maryland: 4 receptions, 30 yards, 1 TD
Luke Schoonmaker, Michigan: 1 reception, 15 yards, 0 TDs
Colston Loveland, Michigan: 1 reception, 45 yards, 1 TD
6. The Buckeyes have three of the top 12 NFL draft picks for 2023 offensive lineman. The left tackle Paris Johnson has not given up one sack this year and is considered the second best draft pick in the nation. The center is also the second best draft pick in the nation.
5. CJ Stroud will likely be the first drafted quarterback for 2023.
4. Miyan Williams will be healthy and running behind one of the top two or three offensive lines in the country.
3. Ryan Day was uptight and uncharacteristically rattled during the Michigan game. The team is tight. He has emphasized for this game the team will be loose and dangerous.
2. Georgia's top players can be neutralized by Ohio State's top players:. Georgia's Nolan Smith -outstanding defensive lineman can be neutralized by Ohio State's top draft pick offensive tackles. Kelee Ringo will be out-classed by Marvin Harrison.
1. Stetson Bennett holds the ball too long and is only 5-11. Are the best pass rush techniques Larry Johnson teaches is getting DL hands up to knock the ball down. Ohio State is a top 10 team pressuring the quarterback. According to ESPN Stats & Information research, Ohio State averages an FBS-best 36% pressure rate when not blitzing.
Stetson can't get away from the 272 lb monster, Zach Harrison. Georgia has played against only one top 25 defense (Kentucky) and they struggled. Ohio state has played against six, two in the top five.
For these 10 reasons the Buckeyes will advance to round two in the playoffs. P.S. Ohio State is 89-0 since 2014 when scoring at least 30 points, the same point total LSU (lead by their backup quarterback) put on Georgia in their last game. Georgia has lost 3 of 4 games when giving up more than 400 yards.
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