2025, The 2003 Ohio State versus Miami Rematch


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2003 left many Hurricane fans with a bitter taste that has yearned for redemption ever since.  


  • Miami entered the game on a 34-game winning streak, having won the previous season's championship
  •  2003 Tostitos Fiesta Bowl, the designated BCS National Championship for the 2002 season, in a dramatic double-overtime thriller, 31-24, securing their first consensus national title in 34 years and ending Miami's 34-game winning streak. The game, played January 3, 2003, is famous for its controversial pass interference call in overtime that helped set up the Buckeyes' winning score. 
  • 2002: Lost National Championship to Ohio State.
  • 2005: 9-3, finished #2 in ACC Coastal.
  • 2017: 10-3, won ACC Coastal, lost ACC Championship.
  • 2024: 10-3, finished 3rd in ACC with a strong showing. 
  • Miami went from a perennial national title contender to a good-to-very-good ACC program that hasn't quite reached the heights of the 80s and 90s, though recent seasons suggest they're trying to get back there. 
    Why #11 is Significant at Miami
    • Ken Dorsey's Legacy: #11 is tied to Ken Dorsey, a celebrated Miami quarterback who won a national title in 2001, making it a number rich with history and expectations for future QBs.
    • A Bold Statement: By choosing #11, Beck differentiates himself from his time at Georgia (where he wore #15) and signifies his ambition to achieve similar success as Miami's starting quarterback.
    • Following Greatness: It's a challenging but symbolic move, as Beck joins a tradition of successful quarterbacks at Miami and steps out of the shadow of other recent standouts like Cam Ward. 
    In essence, Beck chose #11 to connect with Miami's storied past and signal his intent to build his own legacy with the Hurricanes. 
The roles have reversed in the matchup December 31, at AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas).   Ohio State is a 7.5 point favorite this time, but in 2003 Miami was the 12-point favorite. 

2025 Season Snapshot

Team Overview & Records

Both teams are among the nation’s elite — OSU holding one of the best defenses in FBS and Miami boasting a top-20 SP+ offense/defense. AP News+1


Offensive Comparison

Ohio State

  • Total Offense: ~430 yards/game. TeamRankings

  • Points/Game: ~32.0 (Top 25). TeamRankings

  • Rushing & Passing Balance: OSU shows efficient rushing (top in Big Ten) and precise passing under QB Julian Sayin (3,300+ yds, multiple TDs). ESPN.com

  • Third-Down Offense: Excellent 50%+ conversion rate. TeamRankings

Strengths: Controlled tempo, efficient passing, explosive playmakers like Jeremiah Smith at WR. Wikipedia

Miami

  • Offensive SP+ Rank: ~7th nationally — elite efficiency. Yahoo Sports

  • Passing: High completion rate (~73%). Yahoo Sports

  • Balanced Attack: Effective run/pass mix, strong red-zone output. Yahoo Sports

  • Top Skill Players: QB Carson Beck, RB Mark Fletcher Jr., WR Malachi Toney leading yardage. ESPN.com

Strengths: Accuracy, red-zone efficiency, and an offensive line that protects well early downs. Yahoo Sports


Defensive Breakdown

Ohio State

  • Yards Allowed: ~218 yds/game (No. 1 in FBS). TeamRankings

  • Points Allowed: ~8.8/game (elite scoring defense). TeamRankings

  • Pass Defense: Among the very best nationally. TeamRankings

OSU’s defense has been historically strong — limiting opponents’ total offense and points at historic rates. Yahoo Sports

Miami

  • Defensive Success Rate: Top-10 nationally against opponents. Yahoo Sports

  • Pressure & Rush Defense: Strong pass rush and stout front. Yahoo Sports

Miami’s defense is disciplined and smart, giving up fewer explosive plays and making opponents work for yardage. Yahoo Sports


Key Matchup Factors

Play Caller Strategy

  • OSU: Slows tempo but maximizes efficiency — great at minimizing turnovers and controlling clock. Wikipedia

  • Miami: Balanced offense with precision passing but slightly less explosive in marginal yardage. Yahoo Sports

Turnover Battle

  • Ohio State typically generates opportunities with pressure and disciplined DB play. TeamRankings

  • Miami’s offense protects the ball well but has shown occasional turnover risk in high-pressure games. Wikipedia

Special Teams & Field Position

  • OSU’s kicking and punting are solid, but Miami’s red-zone efficiency and return game can shift field position momentum. Yahoo Sports


Historical & Psychological Edge

  • Buckeyes hold the all-time series edge versus Miami though both programs have storied histories. Eleven Warriors

  • OSU’s dominant defensive reputation may put pressure on Miami’s offensive adaptiveness in a big game. Yahoo Sports

Prediction & Final Score Projection

Projected Formula:
OSU Defense vs. Miami Offense → Ohio State’s elite defense likely clamps down on explosive plays. Yahoo Sports
OSU Offense vs. Miami Defense → Expect a competitive yardage battle but OSU’s balanced attack may sustain longer drives. TeamRankings

Predicted Result:
Ohio State Buckeyes 27 — Miami Hurricanes 20

Key Reasons:

  • OSU converts more 3rd downs and dominates time of possession. TeamRankings

  • Miami’s offensive success could be limited by OSU’s elite pass and rush defense. Yahoo Sports

  • Turnover or big defensive play likely swings momentum in the 4th quarter. TeamRankings

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